Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.034825 0.040856 0.047111 0.054043 0.061476 0.069175 0.077720
2025-10-26 0.024748 0.033288 0.042721 0.053734 0.066079 0.079351 0.094568
2025-11-02 0.018855 0.028817 0.040452 0.054613 0.071016 0.089113 0.110313
2025-11-09 0.014260 0.024895 0.038017 0.054600 0.074349 0.096601 0.123103
2025-11-16 0.009959 0.020484 0.034321 0.052515 0.074795 0.100403 0.131374
2025-11-23 0.006779 0.016898 0.031151 0.050642 0.075134 0.103791 0.138913
2025-11-30 0.005167 0.015260 0.030300 0.051482 0.078593 0.110706 0.150417
2025-12-07 0.004009 0.014075 0.029899 0.052771 0.082503 0.118080 0.162394
2025-12-14 0.003273 0.013453 0.030202 0.054916 0.087430 0.126634 0.175730
2025-12-21 0.002400 0.012299 0.029570 0.055700 0.090562 0.132967 0.186399
2025-12-28 0.002323 0.012843 0.031555 0.060083 0.098308 0.144924 0.203769
2026-01-04 0.001336 0.010865 0.029369 0.058535 0.098313 0.147350 0.209709
2026-01-11 0.000860 0.009977 0.028948 0.059570 0.101849 0.154347 0.221435
2026-01-18 0.000436 0.008850 0.028006 0.059810 0.104338 0.160082 0.231705
2026-01-25 0.000205 0.008112 0.027650 0.060856 0.107869 0.167102 0.243530
2026-02-01 0.000042 0.007106 0.026658 0.060867 0.109954 0.172270 0.253073
2026-02-08 NaN 0.005553 0.024325 0.058664 0.108914 0.173400 0.257600
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004268 0.022239 0.056678 0.108061 0.174687 0.262254
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003839 0.021976 0.057570 0.111180 0.181040 0.273144
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003558 0.022016 0.058936 0.114954 0.188231 0.285070
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003500 0.022604 0.061208 0.120009 0.197080 0.299061
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003139 0.022346 0.062037 0.123003 0.203253 0.309721
2026-03-22 NaN 0.003595 0.024325 0.066671 0.131437 0.216503 0.329207